Market forecasts · updated 2-3x every trading day

The market moves all day.
So do our forecasts.

Concrete, chart-based forecasts for gold, indices, forex and oil, written and updated two to three times every trading day by Karsten Kagels, a German trader with 40 years on the charts. No hype, no signals-for-sale theatre. Just levels, scenarios and reasoning you can check against the chart.

GOLD · S&P 500 · NASDAQ · DOW · SILVER · WTI · EUR/USD · NIKKEI · DXY · SPACEX

Ten markets. Covered like a trading desk.

Every market below gets a written forecast with entry zones, support and resistance, updated two to three times per trading day with TradingView charts.

Gold
XAU/USD
+0.42%
3,352.10 12m ago
S&P 500
SPX
+0.18%
6,281.50 26m ago
Nasdaq 100
NDX
−0.21%
22,940.75 26m ago
Dow Jones
DJI
+0.09%
44,470.00 48m ago
Silver
XAG/USD
+1.12%
38.14 1h ago
Crude Oil
WTI
−0.64%
66.85 1h ago
EUR/USD
FX
+0.15%
1.1642 34m ago
Nikkei 225
NI225
+0.55%
39,680.00 2h ago
Dollar Index
DXY
−0.12%
98.32 2h ago
SpaceX
Private market
Pre-IPO
Weekly brief Today

Four decades of charts. Zero hype.

Karsten Kagels has traded futures, forex and metals since 1986, through crashes, bull runs and everything between. Since 2015, kagels-trading.de has grown into one of Germany's established addresses for chart-based market analysis.

Every forecast is written by Karsten himself, not a content team. If a level matters, he tells you why. If the picture is unclear, he says so.

  • 01

    Classic chart technique

    Support, resistance, trendlines and formations, applied the same way for 40 years. No black-box indicators, no curve-fitted systems.

  • 02

    COT data as a filter

    Weekly Commitment of Traders reports show what commercial hedgers are actually doing. A reality check for every chart scenario.

  • 03

    Updated while the market is open

    Forecasts are revised two to three times per trading day. When a level breaks, the analysis reflects it within hours, not next week.

40yrs

Trading experience across futures, forex and metals since 1986.

2-3x

Forecast updates per trading day, with fresh TradingView charts.

10

Markets covered: the ones Karsten actually trades, not a thousand tickers.

2015

Kagels Trading has published German market analysis since 2015.

Gold forecast: bulls defend the 3,318 zone, 3,368 back in play

Overnight selling stalled exactly at the support band from early July. COT data still shows commercials reducing shorts, which keeps the bullish scenario alive above 3,318.

Read forecast

S&P 500: new highs, thinning breadth, and what the chart says

The index printed another record close, but fewer stocks are carrying the move. Key trendline support now sits at 6,190; below it, the picture changes quickly.

Read forecast

How to read COT data: what commercial positioning really tells you

The Commitment of Traders report is public, free and widely misread. A practical guide to separating the signal from the noise, with real examples from the gold market.

Read article